**Mild overnight conditions under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on August 5.** With daytime highs near 25°C and light southwesterly winds persisting, radiative cooling is limited, keeping minimums elevated above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent observations from London stations show overnight lows holding around 17–20°C on August 4, and similar model consensus from the Met Office supports a floor near 18°C rather than deeper drops. Trader sentiment reflects this data, assigning over 85% combined probability to 17–19°C outcomes while discounting colder scenarios that would require clearer skies or calmer winds not currently forecast. Updated guidance through the evening will refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 5?
Lowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 55%
19°C 37%
17°C 12%
16°C <1%
ใหม่
$30,719 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$30,719 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
55%
19°C
37%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 55%
19°C 37%
17°C 12%
16°C <1%
ใหม่
$30,719 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$30,719 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
$1,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$2,204 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$3,096 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,971 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$6,059 ปริมาณ
12%
18°C
$4,174 ปริมาณ
55%
19°C
$4,044 ปริมาณ
37%
20°C
$5,216 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,658 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$342 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$391 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on August 5.** With daytime highs near 25°C and light southwesterly winds persisting, radiative cooling is limited, keeping minimums elevated above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent observations from London stations show overnight lows holding around 17–20°C on August 4, and similar model consensus from the Met Office supports a floor near 18°C rather than deeper drops. Trader sentiment reflects this data, assigning over 85% combined probability to 17–19°C outcomes while discounting colder scenarios that would require clearer skies or calmer winds not currently forecast. Updated guidance through the evening will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,719วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on August 5.** With daytime highs near 25°C and light southwesterly winds persisting, radiative cooling is limited, keeping minimums elevated above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent observations from London stations show overnight lows holding around 17–20°C on August 4, and similar model consensus from the Met Office supports a floor near 18°C rather than deeper drops. Trader sentiment reflects this data, assigning over 85% combined probability to 17–19°C outcomes while discounting colder scenarios that would require clearer skies or calmer winds not currently forecast. Updated guidance through the evening will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,719วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild overnight conditions under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on August 5.** With daytime highs near 25°C and light southwesterly winds persisting, radiative cooling is limited, keeping minimums elevated above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent observations from London stations show overnight lows holding around 17–20°C on August 4, and similar model consensus from the Met Office supports a floor near 18°C rather than deeper drops. Trader sentiment reflects this data, assigning over 85% combined probability to 17–19°C outcomes while discounting colder scenarios that would require clearer skies or calmer winds not currently forecast. Updated guidance through the evening will refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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