Forecast models for Moscow on September 21 indicate overnight lows likely near 13–15°C under cloudy skies with southerly winds and a chance of showers, supporting the closely matched market odds around 14–15°C. Recent model runs show mild advection from the south keeping minimums above seasonal averages, yet increasing cloud cover and potential rainfall could enhance radiative cooling or suppress it depending on timing and intensity. This genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and precipitation timing drives the near-even split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes, with traders monitoring updated NWP guidance ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
18°C or higher 97%
8°C or below 90%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
8°C or below
90%
9°C
16%
10°C
18%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C or higher
97%
18°C or higher 97%
8°C or below 90%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
8°C or below
90%
9°C
16%
10°C
18%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Moscow on September 21 indicate overnight lows likely near 13–15°C under cloudy skies with southerly winds and a chance of showers, supporting the closely matched market odds around 14–15°C. Recent model runs show mild advection from the south keeping minimums above seasonal averages, yet increasing cloud cover and potential rainfall could enhance radiative cooling or suppress it depending on timing and intensity. This genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and precipitation timing drives the near-even split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes, with traders monitoring updated NWP guidance ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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