Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional ensembles, converge on an overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and periods of rain that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the 12°C and 13°C bins over colder outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud insulation reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions. The elevated market weight on 19°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in steering patterns and possible model spread, while probabilities for 9°C or below align with historical September variability and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated runs overnight and official DWD observations will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
9°C or below 72%
19°C or higher 55%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
72%
10°C
16%
11°C
38%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C or higher
55%
9°C or below 72%
19°C or higher 55%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
72%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
13°C
$4 ปริมาณ
28%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional ensembles, converge on an overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and periods of rain that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the 12°C and 13°C bins over colder outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud insulation reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions. The elevated market weight on 19°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in steering patterns and possible model spread, while probabilities for 9°C or below align with historical September variability and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated runs overnight and official DWD observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional ensembles, converge on an overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and periods of rain that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the 12°C and 13°C bins over colder outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud insulation reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions. The elevated market weight on 19°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in steering patterns and possible model spread, while probabilities for 9°C or below align with historical September variability and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated runs overnight and official DWD observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional ensembles, converge on an overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and periods of rain that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the 12°C and 13°C bins over colder outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud insulation reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions. The elevated market weight on 19°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in steering patterns and possible model spread, while probabilities for 9°C or below align with historical September variability and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated runs overnight and official DWD observations will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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