Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 ปริมาณ
$45,807 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 ปริมาณ
$45,807 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$3,097 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$3,282 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,514 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,479 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,439 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,072 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$15,987 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,047 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$732 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,658 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$10,502 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,807วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,807วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDTrader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย