Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C for May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and restricts nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the 99.6 % market-implied probability on the 18 °C outcome. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high confidence at this lead time, yet traders recognize that an unanticipated late-model shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at Haneda Airport could still alter the final reading before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 ปริมาณ
$15,553 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 ปริมาณ
$15,553 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$1,131 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$1,394 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$823 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,154 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$3,467 ปริมาณ
100%
19°C
$1,778 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,776 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$564 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$688 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C for May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and restricts nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the 99.6 % market-implied probability on the 18 °C outcome. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high confidence at this lead time, yet traders recognize that an unanticipated late-model shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at Haneda Airport could still alter the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,553วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C for May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and restricts nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the 99.6 % market-implied probability on the 18 °C outcome. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high confidence at this lead time, yet traders recognize that an unanticipated late-model shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at Haneda Airport could still alter the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,553วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C for May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and restricts nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the 99.6 % market-implied probability on the 18 °C outcome. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high confidence at this lead time, yet traders recognize that an unanticipated late-model shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at Haneda Airport could still alter the final reading before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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