Recent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations around the 4.00–4.49% range for the full-year print, which currently commands 48% implied probability on Polymarket. Core inflation’s decline to 4.26% and softer monthly price gains have reinforced views that persistent food and energy pressures are moderating, while Banxico’s economist survey lifting the 2026 year-end forecast only modestly to 4.37% signals contained upside risks. Government revisions to a 3.7% target and stable long-term expectations further support convergence toward the mid-4% zone, though peso volatility and external trade factors keep the 4.50–4.99% bucket competitive at 28.5% probability ahead of upcoming data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
4.00% to 4.49% 47%
4.50% to 4.99% 27%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.00% to 5.49% 11.8%
$41,329 ปริมาณ
$41,329 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
25%
4.00% to 4.49%
47%
4.50% to 4.99%
27%
5.00% to 5.49%
12%
5.50%+
8%
4.00% to 4.49% 47%
4.50% to 4.99% 27%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.00% to 5.49% 11.8%
$41,329 ปริมาณ
$41,329 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 ปริมาณ
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,130 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,963 ปริมาณ
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$400 ปริมาณ
25%
4.00% to 4.49%
$503 ปริมาณ
47%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,538 ปริมาณ
27%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,261 ปริมาณ
12%
5.50%+
$5,040 ปริมาณ
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations around the 4.00–4.49% range for the full-year print, which currently commands 48% implied probability on Polymarket. Core inflation’s decline to 4.26% and softer monthly price gains have reinforced views that persistent food and energy pressures are moderating, while Banxico’s economist survey lifting the 2026 year-end forecast only modestly to 4.37% signals contained upside risks. Government revisions to a 3.7% target and stable long-term expectations further support convergence toward the mid-4% zone, though peso volatility and external trade factors keep the 4.50–4.99% bucket competitive at 28.5% probability ahead of upcoming data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,329วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations around the 4.00–4.49% range for the full-year print, which currently commands 48% implied probability on Polymarket. Core inflation’s decline to 4.26% and softer monthly price gains have reinforced views that persistent food and energy pressures are moderating, while Banxico’s economist survey lifting the 2026 year-end forecast only modestly to 4.37% signals contained upside risks. Government revisions to a 3.7% target and stable long-term expectations further support convergence toward the mid-4% zone, though peso volatility and external trade factors keep the 4.50–4.99% bucket competitive at 28.5% probability ahead of upcoming data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,329วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations around the 4.00–4.49% range for the full-year print, which currently commands 48% implied probability on Polymarket. Core inflation’s decline to 4.26% and softer monthly price gains have reinforced views that persistent food and energy pressures are moderating, while Banxico’s economist survey lifting the 2026 year-end forecast only modestly to 4.37% signals contained upside risks. Government revisions to a 3.7% target and stable long-term expectations further support convergence toward the mid-4% zone, though peso volatility and external trade factors keep the 4.50–4.99% bucket competitive at 28.5% probability ahead of upcoming data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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