Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte seeks a second term in the November 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election, facing Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington after primaries on September 8. Multiple recent polls, including Saint Anselm College surveys from June and August 2026, show Ayotte ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters, consistent with her 2024 general election margin. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican outcome an 81% implied probability, reflecting Ayotte’s incumbency, established name recognition, and New Hampshire’s recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial success, while Warmington’s campaign has not closed the gap in polling averages despite her prior statewide runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$16,343 ปริมาณ
$16,343 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
17%
$16,343 ปริมาณ
$16,343 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$7,417 ปริมาณ
81%
Democrat
$8,927 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte seeks a second term in the November 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election, facing Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington after primaries on September 8. Multiple recent polls, including Saint Anselm College surveys from June and August 2026, show Ayotte ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters, consistent with her 2024 general election margin. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican outcome an 81% implied probability, reflecting Ayotte’s incumbency, established name recognition, and New Hampshire’s recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial success, while Warmington’s campaign has not closed the gap in polling averages despite her prior statewide runs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,343วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte seeks a second term in the November 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election, facing Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington after primaries on September 8. Multiple recent polls, including Saint Anselm College surveys from June and August 2026, show Ayotte ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters, consistent with her 2024 general election margin. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican outcome an 81% implied probability, reflecting Ayotte’s incumbency, established name recognition, and New Hampshire’s recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial success, while Warmington’s campaign has not closed the gap in polling averages despite her prior statewide runs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,343วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte seeks a second term in the November 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election, facing Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington after primaries on September 8. Multiple recent polls, including Saint Anselm College surveys from June and August 2026, show Ayotte ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters, consistent with her 2024 general election margin. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican outcome an 81% implied probability, reflecting Ayotte’s incumbency, established name recognition, and New Hampshire’s recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial success, while Warmington’s campaign has not closed the gap in polling averages despite her prior statewide runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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