United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and established regional networks ahead of the three-day vote scheduled for 18–20 September. Kremlin preparations, including leadership restructuring and primaries completed earlier in 2026, have reinforced its organizational edge, while systemic opposition parties such as New People, LDPR, and KPRF operate within tightly managed parameters that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent’s seat share. Recent developments, including the June 2026 decree formalizing the election date and ongoing measures restricting non-systemic groups, have further entrenched the expected outcome of United Russia securing the largest bloc. Market pricing reflects this structural dominance alongside the mixed polling environment and historical patterns of high single-mandate performance for the party of power.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 69%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 22.4%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 2.2%
$17,486,426 ปริมาณ
$17,486,426 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
69%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
22%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
2%
พรรค A
1%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 69%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 22.4%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 2.2%
$17,486,426 ปริมาณ
$17,486,426 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
$6,353,264 ปริมาณ
69%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
$1,874,257 ปริมาณ
22%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$3,064,173 ปริมาณ
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$1,186,884 ปริมาณ
2%
พรรค A
$297,696 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$1,231,727 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$2,209,743 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
$1,268,683 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and established regional networks ahead of the three-day vote scheduled for 18–20 September. Kremlin preparations, including leadership restructuring and primaries completed earlier in 2026, have reinforced its organizational edge, while systemic opposition parties such as New People, LDPR, and KPRF operate within tightly managed parameters that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent’s seat share. Recent developments, including the June 2026 decree formalizing the election date and ongoing measures restricting non-systemic groups, have further entrenched the expected outcome of United Russia securing the largest bloc. Market pricing reflects this structural dominance alongside the mixed polling environment and historical patterns of high single-mandate performance for the party of power.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,486,426วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and established regional networks ahead of the three-day vote scheduled for 18–20 September. Kremlin preparations, including leadership restructuring and primaries completed earlier in 2026, have reinforced its organizational edge, while systemic opposition parties such as New People, LDPR, and KPRF operate within tightly managed parameters that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent’s seat share. Recent developments, including the June 2026 decree formalizing the election date and ongoing measures restricting non-systemic groups, have further entrenched the expected outcome of United Russia securing the largest bloc. Market pricing reflects this structural dominance alongside the mixed polling environment and historical patterns of high single-mandate performance for the party of power.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,486,426วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and established regional networks ahead of the three-day vote scheduled for 18–20 September. Kremlin preparations, including leadership restructuring and primaries completed earlier in 2026, have reinforced its organizational edge, while systemic opposition parties such as New People, LDPR, and KPRF operate within tightly managed parameters that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent’s seat share. Recent developments, including the June 2026 decree formalizing the election date and ongoing measures restricting non-systemic groups, have further entrenched the expected outcome of United Russia securing the largest bloc. Market pricing reflects this structural dominance alongside the mixed polling environment and historical patterns of high single-mandate performance for the party of power.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
98%
ใช่
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
44%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
80%
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