Rising global temperatures fueled by record atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continue to push monthly averages higher, with 2024 and 2025 already producing multiple all-time highs according to NOAA and NASA measurements. This established warming trend underpins the 87% market-implied odds for at least one 2026 month surpassing prior records, even amid neutral ENSO conditions that typically moderate extremes. Ocean heat content and long-term climate indices reinforce the trajectory, while historical baselines show records occurring roughly every few years during the current decade. Upcoming agency updates on global temperature anomalies through mid-year will offer traders additional signals on whether this pattern holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$136,756 ปริมาณ
$136,756 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
$136,756 ปริมาณ
$136,756 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Rising global temperatures fueled by record atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continue to push monthly averages higher, with 2024 and 2025 already producing multiple all-time highs according to NOAA and NASA measurements. This established warming trend underpins the 87% market-implied odds for at least one 2026 month surpassing prior records, even amid neutral ENSO conditions that typically moderate extremes. Ocean heat content and long-term climate indices reinforce the trajectory, while historical baselines show records occurring roughly every few years during the current decade. Upcoming agency updates on global temperature anomalies through mid-year will offer traders additional signals on whether this pattern holds.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,756วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Rising global temperatures fueled by record atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continue to push monthly averages higher, with 2024 and 2025 already producing multiple all-time highs according to NOAA and NASA measurements. This established warming trend underpins the 87% market-implied odds for at least one 2026 month surpassing prior records, even amid neutral ENSO conditions that typically moderate extremes. Ocean heat content and long-term climate indices reinforce the trajectory, while historical baselines show records occurring roughly every few years during the current decade. Upcoming agency updates on global temperature anomalies through mid-year will offer traders additional signals on whether this pattern holds.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,756วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising global temperatures fueled by record atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continue to push monthly averages higher, with 2024 and 2025 already producing multiple all-time highs according to NOAA and NASA measurements. This established warming trend underpins the 87% market-implied odds for at least one 2026 month surpassing prior records, even amid neutral ENSO conditions that typically moderate extremes. Ocean heat content and long-term climate indices reinforce the trajectory, while historical baselines show records occurring roughly every few years during the current decade. Upcoming agency updates on global temperature anomalies through mid-year will offer traders additional signals on whether this pattern holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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