Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and resulting G7 sanctions regime form the core barrier to rejoining before December 31, 2026. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine’s sovereignty, pledged additional weapons and sanctions pressure on Russian energy exports, and showed no movement toward restoring Moscow’s status. Russia’s suspension since the 2014 Crimea annexation and full exclusion after 2022 remain in force, with other G7 capitals aligned against readmission absent major territorial or security concessions. Trader consensus at 98% for “No” reflects these entrenched diplomatic and economic isolation dynamics. A rapid Ukraine ceasefire with verifiable Russian withdrawals could theoretically open limited discussion, though no such breakthrough appears imminent within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2% โอกาส
$53,393 ปริมาณ
$53,393 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
2% โอกาส
$53,393 ปริมาณ
$53,393 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and resulting G7 sanctions regime form the core barrier to rejoining before December 31, 2026. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine’s sovereignty, pledged additional weapons and sanctions pressure on Russian energy exports, and showed no movement toward restoring Moscow’s status. Russia’s suspension since the 2014 Crimea annexation and full exclusion after 2022 remain in force, with other G7 capitals aligned against readmission absent major territorial or security concessions. Trader consensus at 98% for “No” reflects these entrenched diplomatic and economic isolation dynamics. A rapid Ukraine ceasefire with verifiable Russian withdrawals could theoretically open limited discussion, though no such breakthrough appears imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,393วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and resulting G7 sanctions regime form the core barrier to rejoining before December 31, 2026. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine’s sovereignty, pledged additional weapons and sanctions pressure on Russian energy exports, and showed no movement toward restoring Moscow’s status. Russia’s suspension since the 2014 Crimea annexation and full exclusion after 2022 remain in force, with other G7 capitals aligned against readmission absent major territorial or security concessions. Trader consensus at 98% for “No” reflects these entrenched diplomatic and economic isolation dynamics. A rapid Ukraine ceasefire with verifiable Russian withdrawals could theoretically open limited discussion, though no such breakthrough appears imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,393วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and resulting G7 sanctions regime form the core barrier to rejoining before December 31, 2026. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine’s sovereignty, pledged additional weapons and sanctions pressure on Russian energy exports, and showed no movement toward restoring Moscow’s status. Russia’s suspension since the 2014 Crimea annexation and full exclusion after 2022 remain in force, with other G7 capitals aligned against readmission absent major territorial or security concessions. Trader consensus at 98% for “No” reflects these entrenched diplomatic and economic isolation dynamics. A rapid Ukraine ceasefire with verifiable Russian withdrawals could theoretically open limited discussion, though no such breakthrough appears imminent within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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