In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJairo Palheta 44.4%
Carlos Cley 26%
Clécio Luís 21%
Dr. Furlan 0
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Jairo Palheta
44%
Carlos Cley
26%
Clécio Luís
21%
Dr. Furlan
37%
Marcos Reategui
46%
Jairo Palheta 44.4%
Carlos Cley 26%
Clécio Luís 21%
Dr. Furlan 0
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Jairo Palheta
$20 Vol.
44%
Carlos Cley
$20 Vol.
26%
Clécio Luís
$20 Vol.
21%
Dr. Furlan
$61 Vol.
37%
Marcos Reategui
$40 Vol.
46%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$161Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$161Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Amapá gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a fragmented field with no dominant favorite among named contenders, keeping implied probabilities for frontrunners like Marcos Reategui and Dr. Furlan in a narrow band. Recent candidate registrations closed with five confirmed names, including incumbent Clécio Luís of União Brasil, positioning alliances and local party coalitions as key variables ahead of the October vote. Limited polling data and the absence of major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have sustained this equilibrium, while factors such as turnout among swing voters in Macapá and rural areas could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates opposition support or secures high-profile backing before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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