Recent polling aggregates for Sunday’s Andalusian regional election place PSOE-A between 21% and 25% of the vote, producing seat projections that cluster tightly around the 24-30 range in the 109-seat parliament. This narrow spread keeps the 24-26 and 27-29 brackets nearly even in trader pricing, as small shifts in turnout or the split among smaller left-leaning parties can move the final tally by a handful of seats. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno’s strong lead for the PP and a recent campaign remark by PSOE candidate María Jesús Montero have weighed on socialist support, yet party efforts to mobilize undecided voters in key provinces leave room for last-minute movement before results are certified.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update24-26 43%
27-29 40%
21-23 13.9%
30-32 7.4%
$4,552 Vol.
$4,552 Vol.
<21
2%
21-23
10%
24-26
43%
27-29
44%
30-32
7%
33+
4%
24-26 43%
27-29 40%
21-23 13.9%
30-32 7.4%
$4,552 Vol.
$4,552 Vol.
<21
2%
21-23
10%
24-26
43%
27-29
44%
30-32
7%
33+
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates for Sunday’s Andalusian regional election place PSOE-A between 21% and 25% of the vote, producing seat projections that cluster tightly around the 24-30 range in the 109-seat parliament. This narrow spread keeps the 24-26 and 27-29 brackets nearly even in trader pricing, as small shifts in turnout or the split among smaller left-leaning parties can move the final tally by a handful of seats. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno’s strong lead for the PP and a recent campaign remark by PSOE candidate María Jesús Montero have weighed on socialist support, yet party efforts to mobilize undecided voters in key provinces leave room for last-minute movement before results are certified.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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