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Mundo·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner
Mundo·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Civil Contract 94%

Strong Armenia 5.6%

Armenia Alliance <1%

Prosperous Armenia <1%

Polymarket

$179,993 Vol.

Civil Contract 94%

Strong Armenia 5.6%

Armenia Alliance <1%

Prosperous Armenia <1%

Polymarket

$179,993 Vol.

icon for Civil Contract

Civil Contract

$55,181 Vol.

94%

icon for Strong Armenia

Strong Armenia

$8,965 Vol.

6%

icon for Armenia Alliance

Armenia Alliance

$56,873 Vol.

<1%

icon for Prosperous Armenia

Prosperous Armenia

$9,749 Vol.

<1%

icon for I Have Honor Alliance

I Have Honor Alliance

$7,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenian National Congress

Armenian National Congress

$8,828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bright Armenia

Bright Armenia

$7,741 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hanrapetutyun Party

Hanrapetutyun Party

$7,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Heritage

Heritage

$8,236 Vol.

<1%

icon for Orinats Yerkir

Orinats Yerkir

$9,835 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects recent EVN Report polling from April-May 2026, showing the incumbent party leading vote intentions at 32.5%—a stable edge over Strong Armenia's 10.1%—with 39% undecided/non-committed voters leaning 47% toward it via issue-based modeling, projecting 41-51% support at 85% turnout under proportional representation. Opposition fragmentation leaves Armenia Alliance (4.4%) and Prosperous Armenia (3.4%) below the 4-8% thresholds, while rising Prime Minister approval (49%) and improved security/economy perceptions amid Iran policy handling sustain momentum ahead of the June 7 vote. Challengers like a Strong Armenia surge, Azerbaijan border escalation, or scandal shifting undecideds could disrupt this path to plurality seats and potential bonus allocation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$179,993
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 7, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects recent EVN Report polling from April-May 2026, showing the incumbent party leading vote intentions at 32.5%—a stable edge over Strong Armenia's 10.1%—with 39% undecided/non-committed voters leaning 47% toward it via issue-based modeling, projecting 41-51% support at 85% turnout under proportional representation. Opposition fragmentation leaves Armenia Alliance (4.4%) and Prosperous Armenia (3.4%) below the 4-8% thresholds, while rising Prime Minister approval (49%) and improved security/economy perceptions amid Iran policy handling sustain momentum ahead of the June 7 vote. Challengers like a Strong Armenia surge, Azerbaijan border escalation, or scandal shifting undecideds could disrupt this path to plurality seats and potential bonus allocation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$179,993
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 7, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Civil Contract" sa 94%, sinusundan ng "Strong Armenia" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 94¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $180K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 16, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" ay "Civil Contract" sa 94%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Strong Armenia" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.