Recent polling for Brazil’s October 4 first round shows President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in the top two spots, leaving a fragmented contest for third among lower-polling candidates. Renan Santos of the Missão party has edged ahead in several September surveys, often registering 3–6 percent and outpacing rivals after consistent anti-establishment messaging and campaign events targeting younger voters. Augusto Cury of Avante, previously isolated in third with double-digit readings in early September, has slipped in more recent data releases. Ronaldo Caiado maintains a smaller but steady base tied to his gubernatorial record, while Romeu Zema and others register minimal support. Traders’ consensus on the third-place outcome reflects these late-campaign shifts in vote intention and the short window before ballots close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRenan Santos 53%
Augusto Cury 32.6%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
Romeu Zema 1.0%
$1,283,207 Vol.
$1,283,207 Vol.

Renan Santos
53%

Augusto Cury
33%

Ronaldo Caiado
12%

Romeu Zema
1%

Flávio Bolsonaro
<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos 53%
Augusto Cury 32.6%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
Romeu Zema 1.0%
$1,283,207 Vol.
$1,283,207 Vol.

Renan Santos
53%

Augusto Cury
33%

Ronaldo Caiado
12%

Romeu Zema
1%

Flávio Bolsonaro
<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling for Brazil’s October 4 first round shows President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in the top two spots, leaving a fragmented contest for third among lower-polling candidates. Renan Santos of the Missão party has edged ahead in several September surveys, often registering 3–6 percent and outpacing rivals after consistent anti-establishment messaging and campaign events targeting younger voters. Augusto Cury of Avante, previously isolated in third with double-digit readings in early September, has slipped in more recent data releases. Ronaldo Caiado maintains a smaller but steady base tied to his gubernatorial record, while Romeu Zema and others register minimal support. Traders’ consensus on the third-place outcome reflects these late-campaign shifts in vote intention and the short window before ballots close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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