Trader consensus on Colombia's May 31 presidential election first-round turnout centers on 54-57% as the leading outcome, reflecting historical presidential first-round averages of 48-54% in 2022 and 2018, elevated above the March legislative elections' roughly 50% participation despite abstention above 50%. Recent April-May polls showing left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda at 37-44% amid a fragmented right—led by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia—signal strong mobilization in a polarized race likely headed to a June 21 runoff, with over 41 million registered voters boosting expectations. Final-week campaigning and no major disruptions further anchor mid-50s probabilities, while lower bins account for persistent voter apathy risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update54-57% 51%
60%+ 28.5%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
BAGO
BAGO
May 31, 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
28%
51-54%
23%
54-57%
47%
57-60%
13%
60%+
29%
54-57% 51%
60%+ 28.5%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
BAGO
BAGO
May 31, 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
4%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
28%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
23%
54-57%
$436 Vol.
47%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
13%
60%+
$484 Vol.
29%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Colombia's May 31 presidential election first-round turnout centers on 54-57% as the leading outcome, reflecting historical presidential first-round averages of 48-54% in 2022 and 2018, elevated above the March legislative elections' roughly 50% participation despite abstention above 50%. Recent April-May polls showing left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda at 37-44% amid a fragmented right—led by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia—signal strong mobilization in a polarized race likely headed to a June 21 runoff, with over 41 million registered voters boosting expectations. Final-week campaigning and no major disruptions further anchor mid-50s probabilities, while lower bins account for persistent voter apathy risks.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,624Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Colombia's May 31 presidential election first-round turnout centers on 54-57% as the leading outcome, reflecting historical presidential first-round averages of 48-54% in 2022 and 2018, elevated above the March legislative elections' roughly 50% participation despite abstention above 50%. Recent April-May polls showing left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda at 37-44% amid a fragmented right—led by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia—signal strong mobilization in a polarized race likely headed to a June 21 runoff, with over 41 million registered voters boosting expectations. Final-week campaigning and no major disruptions further anchor mid-50s probabilities, while lower bins account for persistent voter apathy risks.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,624Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Colombia's May 31 presidential election first-round turnout centers on 54-57% as the leading outcome, reflecting historical presidential first-round averages of 48-54% in 2022 and 2018, elevated above the March legislative elections' roughly 50% participation despite abstention above 50%. Recent April-May polls showing left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda at 37-44% amid a fragmented right—led by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia—signal strong mobilization in a polarized race likely headed to a June 21 runoff, with over 41 million registered voters boosting expectations. Final-week campaigning and no major disruptions further anchor mid-50s probabilities, while lower bins account for persistent voter apathy risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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