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icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 91%

Elijah Manley 9%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$50,394 Vol.

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 91%

Elijah Manley 9%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$50,394 Vol.

icon for Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$21,530 Vol.

91%

icon for Elijah Manley

Elijah Manley

$19,497 Vol.

9%

icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$1,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Douglas

Mark Douglas

$838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rudy Moise

Rudy Moise

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luther Campbell

Luther Campbell

$1,251 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dale Holness

Dale Holness

$2,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Maisha Williams

Maisha Williams

$741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th congressional district due to her long congressional tenure, name recognition, and major newspaper endorsements from the Miami Herald and Sun Sentinel. The district became vacant after Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April 2026 resignation, prompting Schultz to enter following redistricting that shifted her prior seat. Multiple challengers, including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Cherfilus-McCormick herself, have fragmented the vote among Black Democratic candidates in this plurality-Black district, a dynamic traders view as limiting any single opponent’s path. Recent progressive endorsements for Manley and criticism of Schultz’s district choice have generated some attention but have not materially narrowed her lead in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,394
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th congressional district due to her long congressional tenure, name recognition, and major newspaper endorsements from the Miami Herald and Sun Sentinel. The district became vacant after Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April 2026 resignation, prompting Schultz to enter following redistricting that shifted her prior seat. Multiple challengers, including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Cherfilus-McCormick herself, have fragmented the vote among Black Democratic candidates in this plurality-Black district, a dynamic traders view as limiting any single opponent’s path. Recent progressive endorsements for Manley and criticism of Schultz’s district choice have generated some attention but have not materially narrowed her lead in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,394
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kaugnay

icon for Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

63%
icon for Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

98%
icon for Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

85%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" sa 91%, sinusundan ng "Elijah Manley" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 91¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $50.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" sa 91%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Elijah Manley" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.