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Politika·Brazil

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate
Politika·Brazil

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

Alfredo Gaspar 100.0%

Marcos Pontes <1%

Rogério Marinho <1%

Tereza Cristina <1%

Polymarket

$37,419 Vol.

Alfredo Gaspar 100.0%

Marcos Pontes <1%

Rogério Marinho <1%

Tereza Cristina <1%

Polymarket

$37,419 Vol.

icon for Marcos Pontes

Marcos Pontes

$1,955 Vol.

No

icon for Rogério Marinho

Rogério Marinho

$1,131 Vol.

No

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$837 Vol.

No

icon for Simone Marquetto

Simone Marquetto

$702 Vol.

No

icon for Clarissa Tércio

Clarissa Tércio

$719 Vol.

No

icon for Daniella Marques

Daniella Marques

$1,064 Vol.

No

icon for Damares Alves

Damares Alves

$725 Vol.

No

icon for Renata Abreu

Renata Abreu

$637 Vol.

No

icon for Gilson Machado

Gilson Machado

$627 Vol.

No

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$943 Vol.

No

icon for Alfredo Gaspar

Alfredo Gaspar

$25,303 Vol.

Yes

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$653 Vol.

No

icon for Júlia Zanatta

Júlia Zanatta

$618 Vol.

No

icon for Priscila Costa

Priscila Costa

$782 Vol.

No

icon for Rosana Valle

Rosana Valle

$724 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$37,419
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$37,419
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Kaugnay

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Matatapos ba sa ikalawang pwesto si Flávio Bolsonaro sa unang round ng 2026 halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Brazil?

86%
Oo
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Mananalo ba si Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sa 2026 na halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Brazil?

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Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Alfredo Gaspar" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Marcos Pontes" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay naka-generate ng $37.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay "Alfredo Gaspar" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Marcos Pontes" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.