Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$30,567 Vol.
$30,567 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$30,567 Vol.
$30,567 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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