Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Cape Town's highest temperature today at Cape Town International Airport Station (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast projecting a maximum of 20°C under partly cloudy skies following a recent cold front and heavy rainfall that cooled the region. Morning observations show temperatures starting near 12°C with light northerly winds shifting southerly, capping daytime heating via reduced solar insolation and lingering marine influence typical for autumn in the Western Cape. Global model consensus, including hourly projections, aligns on a mid-afternoon peak around 19°C, consistent with historical May averages of 20°C but adjusted for post-frontal suppression. Stronger sunshine or delayed cloud breakup could realistically nudge it to 20°C, while thicker overcast might limit it below 19°C; airport station data will finalize by evening.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,809 Vol.
$36,809 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,809 Vol.
$36,809 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Cape Town's highest temperature today at Cape Town International Airport Station (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast projecting a maximum of 20°C under partly cloudy skies following a recent cold front and heavy rainfall that cooled the region. Morning observations show temperatures starting near 12°C with light northerly winds shifting southerly, capping daytime heating via reduced solar insolation and lingering marine influence typical for autumn in the Western Cape. Global model consensus, including hourly projections, aligns on a mid-afternoon peak around 19°C, consistent with historical May averages of 20°C but adjusted for post-frontal suppression. Stronger sunshine or delayed cloud breakup could realistically nudge it to 20°C, while thicker overcast might limit it below 19°C; airport station data will finalize by evening.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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