Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 Vol.
$302,807 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 Vol.
$302,807 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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