Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, has delivered clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited daytime heating across central Spain, locking in a Madrid maximum of 22 °C for May 17. Official AEMET surface observations through the afternoon align closely with this model consensus, leaving minimal room for deviation and explaining the market’s near-certain pricing on 22 °C. Only a late-afternoon convective cell or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push the reading one degree higher or lower before resolution; otherwise, the current thermodynamic profile supports the tight clustering around this single outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$55,564 Vol.
$55,564 Vol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$55,564 Vol.
$55,564 Vol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,647 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,653 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,618 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,684 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$12,737 Vol.
100%
23°C
$9,641 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,304 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,818 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, has delivered clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited daytime heating across central Spain, locking in a Madrid maximum of 22 °C for May 17. Official AEMET surface observations through the afternoon align closely with this model consensus, leaving minimal room for deviation and explaining the market’s near-certain pricing on 22 °C. Only a late-afternoon convective cell or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push the reading one degree higher or lower before resolution; otherwise, the current thermodynamic profile supports the tight clustering around this single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$55,564Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, has delivered clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited daytime heating across central Spain, locking in a Madrid maximum of 22 °C for May 17. Official AEMET surface observations through the afternoon align closely with this model consensus, leaving minimal room for deviation and explaining the market’s near-certain pricing on 22 °C. Only a late-afternoon convective cell or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push the reading one degree higher or lower before resolution; otherwise, the current thermodynamic profile supports the tight clustering around this single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,564Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDPersistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, has delivered clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited daytime heating across central Spain, locking in a Madrid maximum of 22 °C for May 17. Official AEMET surface observations through the afternoon align closely with this model consensus, leaving minimal room for deviation and explaining the market’s near-certain pricing on 22 °C. Only a late-afternoon convective cell or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push the reading one degree higher or lower before resolution; otherwise, the current thermodynamic profile supports the tight clustering around this single outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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