National Weather Service short-term forecast models currently point to a highest temperature in Miami on May 18 most likely falling in the 86–89°F range, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes of 86-87°F at 47.5% and 88-89°F at 33% implied probability. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average daily highs hover near 85°F amid persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and moderate humidity that supports efficient daytime heating. Recent upper-80s observations under similar conditions reinforce trader consensus, while modest uncertainty stems from potential afternoon sea-breeze development or variable cloud cover that could trim or extend the peak by a degree or two.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 48%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5%
$18,031 Vol.
$18,031 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 48%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5%
$18,031 Vol.
$18,031 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service short-term forecast models currently point to a highest temperature in Miami on May 18 most likely falling in the 86–89°F range, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes of 86-87°F at 47.5% and 88-89°F at 33% implied probability. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average daily highs hover near 85°F amid persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and moderate humidity that supports efficient daytime heating. Recent upper-80s observations under similar conditions reinforce trader consensus, while modest uncertainty stems from potential afternoon sea-breeze development or variable cloud cover that could trim or extend the peak by a degree or two.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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