Current forecasts from meteorological models align with Miami’s subtropical spring climatology, where typical May highs range from 84°F to 88°F under moderate sea-breeze influence and high humidity. The market’s heaviest weighting on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets reflects this consensus, with recent model runs showing no strong frontal passages or anomalous ridging that would push temperatures outside the historical 80–90°F envelope. Sea-surface temperatures near 82°F continue to supply moisture that limits daytime heating, while light easterly flow supports the most probable afternoon peaks around 86–88°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 24%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 9%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 24%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 9%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent forecasts from meteorological models align with Miami’s subtropical spring climatology, where typical May highs range from 84°F to 88°F under moderate sea-breeze influence and high humidity. The market’s heaviest weighting on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets reflects this consensus, with recent model runs showing no strong frontal passages or anomalous ridging that would push temperatures outside the historical 80–90°F envelope. Sea-surface temperatures near 82°F continue to supply moisture that limits daytime heating, while light easterly flow supports the most probable afternoon peaks around 86–88°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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