Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge that is advecting warmer continental air, with daytime highs expected to reach 24–26 °C amid light easterly winds and partial cloud cover. This setup supports modest surface heating above the May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % consensus on a 26 °C peak. Ensemble model runs indicate limited upside potential because stronger subsidence or clearer skies would be required to push readings higher. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud decks could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, though current observations and short-range guidance make such deviations unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,784 Vol.
$44,784 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,784 Vol.
$44,784 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge that is advecting warmer continental air, with daytime highs expected to reach 24–26 °C amid light easterly winds and partial cloud cover. This setup supports modest surface heating above the May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % consensus on a 26 °C peak. Ensemble model runs indicate limited upside potential because stronger subsidence or clearer skies would be required to push readings higher. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud decks could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, though current observations and short-range guidance make such deviations unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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