Latest meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 26°C on May 17, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air from the Black Sea region under mostly clear skies and light winds. Official guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service aligns with ensemble model consensus showing maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius by early afternoon before radiative cooling sets in overnight. This strong scientific backing explains the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for exactly 26°C. A sudden increase in low-level cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage could reduce the observed high by 1–2°C, while any delay in the warming trend remains unlikely given current synoptic patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,362 Vol.
$44,362 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,362 Vol.
$44,362 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,517 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,853 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,539 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 26°C on May 17, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air from the Black Sea region under mostly clear skies and light winds. Official guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service aligns with ensemble model consensus showing maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius by early afternoon before radiative cooling sets in overnight. This strong scientific backing explains the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for exactly 26°C. A sudden increase in low-level cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage could reduce the observed high by 1–2°C, while any delay in the warming trend remains unlikely given current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$44,362Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 26°C on May 17, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air from the Black Sea region under mostly clear skies and light winds. Official guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service aligns with ensemble model consensus showing maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius by early afternoon before radiative cooling sets in overnight. This strong scientific backing explains the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for exactly 26°C. A sudden increase in low-level cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage could reduce the observed high by 1–2°C, while any delay in the warming trend remains unlikely given current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,362Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest meteorological forecasts indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high of 26°C on May 17, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air from the Black Sea region under mostly clear skies and light winds. Official guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service aligns with ensemble model consensus showing maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius by early afternoon before radiative cooling sets in overnight. This strong scientific backing explains the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for exactly 26°C. A sudden increase in low-level cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage could reduce the observed high by 1–2°C, while any delay in the warming trend remains unlikely given current synoptic patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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