MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 53%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.2%
12°C 2.5%
BAGO
$23,966 Vol.
BAGO
$23,966 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
53%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.2%
12°C 2.5%
BAGO
$23,966 Vol.
BAGO
$23,966 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,754 Vol.
2%
13°C
$3,347 Vol.
9%
14°C
$3,033 Vol.
53%
15°C
$2,201 Vol.
36%
16°C
$4,104 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$935 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$23,966Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,966Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNMetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs point to a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C. This autumn synoptic pattern aligns with historical mid-May climatology for the Cook Strait region, where typical highs cluster around 13–15°C under settled conditions. Recent model consensus from short-range runs shows low spread and limited scope for either stronger warming or a cooler southerly shift, reinforcing trader positioning that assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could further tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong