Recent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 55%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.0%
16°C 2.4%
BAGO
$22,822 Vol.
BAGO
$22,822 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
55%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
15°C 36%
13°C 9.0%
16°C 2.4%
BAGO
$22,822 Vol.
BAGO
$22,822 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,317 Vol.
1%
13°C
$3,102 Vol.
9%
14°C
$2,874 Vol.
55%
15°C
$2,048 Vol.
36%
16°C
$3,978 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$935 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$22,822Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,822Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNRecent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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