Recent seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows background-level activity across major subduction zones and strike-slip faults, with isolated events in the Kuril Islands and Papua New Guinea regions contributing to the current tally near the historical weekly average of roughly six to eight magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide. No aftershock sequences or elevated swarm activity have pushed counts significantly higher or lower during the May 11–17 window, keeping market-implied probabilities centered on six or seven events. Traders weigh these steady rates against the potential for one additional threshold-crossing quake before resolution, given normal variability in tectonic release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
8 7.0%
5 1.0%
4 <1%
>9 <1%
$134,307 Vol.
$134,307 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
60%
7
41%
8
11%
9
<1%
>9
<1%
8 7.0%
5 1.0%
4 <1%
>9 <1%
$134,307 Vol.
$134,307 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
$57,847 Vol.
<1%
4
$20,043 Vol.
1%
5
$20,156 Vol.
1%
6
$4,134 Vol.
60%
7
$2,880 Vol.
41%
8
$5,013 Vol.
11%
9
$6,225 Vol.
<1%
>9
$18,009 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows background-level activity across major subduction zones and strike-slip faults, with isolated events in the Kuril Islands and Papua New Guinea regions contributing to the current tally near the historical weekly average of roughly six to eight magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide. No aftershock sequences or elevated swarm activity have pushed counts significantly higher or lower during the May 11–17 window, keeping market-implied probabilities centered on six or seven events. Traders weigh these steady rates against the potential for one additional threshold-crossing quake before resolution, given normal variability in tectonic release.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$134,307Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows background-level activity across major subduction zones and strike-slip faults, with isolated events in the Kuril Islands and Papua New Guinea regions contributing to the current tally near the historical weekly average of roughly six to eight magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide. No aftershock sequences or elevated swarm activity have pushed counts significantly higher or lower during the May 11–17 window, keeping market-implied probabilities centered on six or seven events. Traders weigh these steady rates against the potential for one additional threshold-crossing quake before resolution, given normal variability in tectonic release.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$134,307Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows background-level activity across major subduction zones and strike-slip faults, with isolated events in the Kuril Islands and Papua New Guinea regions contributing to the current tally near the historical weekly average of roughly six to eight magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide. No aftershock sequences or elevated swarm activity have pushed counts significantly higher or lower during the May 11–17 window, keeping market-implied probabilities centered on six or seven events. Traders weigh these steady rates against the potential for one additional threshold-crossing quake before resolution, given normal variability in tectonic release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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