Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with traders assigning a 96.6% probability of a Democratic victory against Republican nominee Dan Cox. Maryland's consistent Democratic trifecta, the state's 28.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential ticket in 2024, and Moore's primary win with over 88% of the vote reinforce this positioning. A July-August 2026 poll showed Moore ahead 58% to 31%, consistent with historical patterns where no Democratic incumbent has lost re-election since 1934. Cox, who previously lost to Moore by a wide margin in 2022, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base in this solidly Democratic state. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national economic shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$22,105 Vol.
$22,105 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
3%
$22,105 Vol.
$22,105 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$13,007 Vol.
97%
Republican
$9,098 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with traders assigning a 96.6% probability of a Democratic victory against Republican nominee Dan Cox. Maryland's consistent Democratic trifecta, the state's 28.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential ticket in 2024, and Moore's primary win with over 88% of the vote reinforce this positioning. A July-August 2026 poll showed Moore ahead 58% to 31%, consistent with historical patterns where no Democratic incumbent has lost re-election since 1934. Cox, who previously lost to Moore by a wide margin in 2022, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base in this solidly Democratic state. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national economic shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$22,105Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with traders assigning a 96.6% probability of a Democratic victory against Republican nominee Dan Cox. Maryland's consistent Democratic trifecta, the state's 28.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential ticket in 2024, and Moore's primary win with over 88% of the vote reinforce this positioning. A July-August 2026 poll showed Moore ahead 58% to 31%, consistent with historical patterns where no Democratic incumbent has lost re-election since 1934. Cox, who previously lost to Moore by a wide margin in 2022, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base in this solidly Democratic state. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national economic shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$22,105Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with traders assigning a 96.6% probability of a Democratic victory against Republican nominee Dan Cox. Maryland's consistent Democratic trifecta, the state's 28.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential ticket in 2024, and Moore's primary win with over 88% of the vote reinforce this positioning. A July-August 2026 poll showed Moore ahead 58% to 31%, consistent with historical patterns where no Democratic incumbent has lost re-election since 1934. Cox, who previously lost to Moore by a wide margin in 2022, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base in this solidly Democratic state. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national economic shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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