Current conditions in the Atlantic basin support the 79.3% market-implied odds against a named storm forming before June 1. The National Hurricane Center’s first 2026 tropical weather outlook, issued May 15, shows no organized disturbances expected through the next seven days, with two tropical waves in the central and eastern Atlantic suppressed by dry air and unfavorable steering patterns. Sea surface temperatures remain below the typical June threshold for rapid intensification, and climatological data confirm that pre-season named storms occur in fewer than one in five years. With only two weeks remaining before official season start and no model consensus for early development, trader sentiment reflects the low probability of sufficient organization and sustained winds reaching tropical-storm strength in time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNamed storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$341,219 Vol.
$341,219 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$341,219 Vol.
$341,219 Vol.
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current conditions in the Atlantic basin support the 79.3% market-implied odds against a named storm forming before June 1. The National Hurricane Center’s first 2026 tropical weather outlook, issued May 15, shows no organized disturbances expected through the next seven days, with two tropical waves in the central and eastern Atlantic suppressed by dry air and unfavorable steering patterns. Sea surface temperatures remain below the typical June threshold for rapid intensification, and climatological data confirm that pre-season named storms occur in fewer than one in five years. With only two weeks remaining before official season start and no model consensus for early development, trader sentiment reflects the low probability of sufficient organization and sustained winds reaching tropical-storm strength in time.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Volume
$341,219Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current conditions in the Atlantic basin support the 79.3% market-implied odds against a named storm forming before June 1. The National Hurricane Center’s first 2026 tropical weather outlook, issued May 15, shows no organized disturbances expected through the next seven days, with two tropical waves in the central and eastern Atlantic suppressed by dry air and unfavorable steering patterns. Sea surface temperatures remain below the typical June threshold for rapid intensification, and climatological data confirm that pre-season named storms occur in fewer than one in five years. With only two weeks remaining before official season start and no model consensus for early development, trader sentiment reflects the low probability of sufficient organization and sustained winds reaching tropical-storm strength in time.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Volume
$341,219Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current conditions in the Atlantic basin support the 79.3% market-implied odds against a named storm forming before June 1. The National Hurricane Center’s first 2026 tropical weather outlook, issued May 15, shows no organized disturbances expected through the next seven days, with two tropical waves in the central and eastern Atlantic suppressed by dry air and unfavorable steering patterns. Sea surface temperatures remain below the typical June threshold for rapid intensification, and climatological data confirm that pre-season named storms occur in fewer than one in five years. With only two weeks remaining before official season start and no model consensus for early development, trader sentiment reflects the low probability of sufficient organization and sustained winds reaching tropical-storm strength in time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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