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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Deb Haaland 92%

Sam Bregman 9%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket

$26,918 Vol.

Deb Haaland 92%

Sam Bregman 9%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket

$26,918 Vol.

Deb Haaland

$11,251 Vol.

92%

Sam Bregman

$12,431 Vol.

9%

Ken Miyagishima

$3,236 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by consistent double-digit leads in late April polls from Emerson College, Albuquerque Journal, and Research & Polling, alongside dominant fundraising exceeding $14 million combined with rival Sam Bregman and endorsements from the Democratic Party of New Mexico pre-primary convention, National Education Association-NM, Equality New Mexico, and Santa Fe Mayor Alan Webber. Bernalillo County District Attorney Bregman trails at 8.5% on his prosecutorial record amid crime concerns, while former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to an independent bid. Upcoming debates and early voting could enable a Bregman surge via turnout in urban areas or attacks on Haaland's federal tenure, though her name recognition and Native voter support present high barriers to upset.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$26,918
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by consistent double-digit leads in late April polls from Emerson College, Albuquerque Journal, and Research & Polling, alongside dominant fundraising exceeding $14 million combined with rival Sam Bregman and endorsements from the Democratic Party of New Mexico pre-primary convention, National Education Association-NM, Equality New Mexico, and Santa Fe Mayor Alan Webber. Bernalillo County District Attorney Bregman trails at 8.5% on his prosecutorial record amid crime concerns, while former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to an independent bid. Upcoming debates and early voting could enable a Bregman surge via turnout in urban areas or attacks on Haaland's federal tenure, though her name recognition and Native voter support present high barriers to upset.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$26,918
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Deb Haaland" sa 92%, sinusundan ng "Sam Bregman" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 92¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 92% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $26.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Deb Haaland" sa 92%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 92% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sam Bregman" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.