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Politika·Peru

Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar

icon for Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar
Politika·Peru

Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 100.0%

Mario Vizcarra <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

José Luna <1%

Polymarket

$6,326,209 Vol.

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 100.0%

Mario Vizcarra <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

José Luna <1%

Polymarket

$6,326,209 Vol.

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$31,205 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$101,197 Vol.

Hindi

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$23,027 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$20,433 Vol.

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icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$26,528 Vol.

Hindi

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$18,794 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$22,801 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$2,015,432 Vol.

Hindi

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$22,370 Vol.

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Fiorella Molinelli

$21,387 Vol.

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Jorge Nieto

$440,321 Vol.

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César Acuña

$22,997 Vol.

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icon for José Williams

José Williams

$22,855 Vol.

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icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$216,721 Vol.

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icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$2,665,572 Vol.

Oo

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Keiko Fujimori

$415,866 Vol.

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Carlos Álvarez

$95,203 Vol.

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Vladimir Cerrón

$22,326 Vol.

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Roberto Chiabra

$21,944 Vol.

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Fernando Olivera

$22,599 Vol.

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Yonhy Lescano

$31,742 Vol.

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$22,638 Vol.

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Wolfgang Grozo

$22,250 Vol.

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First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)The official certification of Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential results has locked in trader consensus that Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place behind Keiko Fujimori. A month-long tabulation process, marked by incremental regional counts and final ONPE verification, showed Sánchez finishing at roughly 12 percent—narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga—after consolidating support from left-leaning voters tied to former President Pedro Castillo’s network. The highly fragmented field of more than 30 candidates prevented any contender from approaching a majority, funneling decisive margins toward the top two. While isolated fraud allegations surfaced during the count, none altered the established order, leaving minimal room for shifts absent an unforeseen reversal in the final certification.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$6,326,209
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)The official certification of Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential results has locked in trader consensus that Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place behind Keiko Fujimori. A month-long tabulation process, marked by incremental regional counts and final ONPE verification, showed Sánchez finishing at roughly 12 percent—narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga—after consolidating support from left-leaning voters tied to former President Pedro Castillo’s network. The highly fragmented field of more than 30 candidates prevented any contender from approaching a majority, funneling decisive margins toward the top two. While isolated fraud allegations surfaced during the count, none altered the established order, leaving minimal room for shifts absent an unforeseen reversal in the final certification.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$6,326,209
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Mario Vizcarra" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay naka-generate ng $6.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mario Vizcarra" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.