Recent polling from firms including Léger and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in voting intentions around 30 percent, ahead of the Parti Libéral du Québec at 24-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 13-20 percent, with the gap widest among francophone voters. This pattern, stable through mid-August, has produced seat projections favoring a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ's sharp decline from its prior majority reflects erosion of support since the 2022 election, while the PQ benefits from its traditional strength in key ridings. Traders price the PQ outcome at 71 percent, reflecting this sustained polling advantage and the structural importance of francophone preferences in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$764,020 Vol.
$764,020 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
14%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$764,020 Vol.
$764,020 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,900 Vol.
71%
PLQ
$102,416 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$109,178 Vol.
14%
PCQ
$210,131 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,896 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from firms including Léger and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in voting intentions around 30 percent, ahead of the Parti Libéral du Québec at 24-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 13-20 percent, with the gap widest among francophone voters. This pattern, stable through mid-August, has produced seat projections favoring a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ's sharp decline from its prior majority reflects erosion of support since the 2022 election, while the PQ benefits from its traditional strength in key ridings. Traders price the PQ outcome at 71 percent, reflecting this sustained polling advantage and the structural importance of francophone preferences in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$764,020Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from firms including Léger and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in voting intentions around 30 percent, ahead of the Parti Libéral du Québec at 24-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 13-20 percent, with the gap widest among francophone voters. This pattern, stable through mid-August, has produced seat projections favoring a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ's sharp decline from its prior majority reflects erosion of support since the 2022 election, while the PQ benefits from its traditional strength in key ridings. Traders price the PQ outcome at 71 percent, reflecting this sustained polling advantage and the structural importance of francophone preferences in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$764,020Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from firms including Léger and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in voting intentions around 30 percent, ahead of the Parti Libéral du Québec at 24-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 13-20 percent, with the gap widest among francophone voters. This pattern, stable through mid-August, has produced seat projections favoring a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ's sharp decline from its prior majority reflects erosion of support since the 2022 election, while the PQ benefits from its traditional strength in key ridings. Traders price the PQ outcome at 71 percent, reflecting this sustained polling advantage and the structural importance of francophone preferences in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
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