Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 25-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-20 percent, with smaller parties trailing. This positioning reflects the PQ’s consistent strength among francophone voters, which supports favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules despite modest overall support. The CAQ’s sharp decline from prior levels follows leadership transitions and governing fatigue, while the Liberals have stabilized but not overtaken the leader. High numbers of undecided voters and the October 5 election timeline introduce volatility, yet current polling trends and regional dynamics underpin the market’s assessment of PQ prospects.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,988 Vol.
$762,988 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,988 Vol.
$762,988 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,900 Vol.
71%
PLQ
$102,416 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$109,138 Vol.
15%
PCQ
$209,420 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,615 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 25-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-20 percent, with smaller parties trailing. This positioning reflects the PQ’s consistent strength among francophone voters, which supports favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules despite modest overall support. The CAQ’s sharp decline from prior levels follows leadership transitions and governing fatigue, while the Liberals have stabilized but not overtaken the leader. High numbers of undecided voters and the October 5 election timeline introduce volatility, yet current polling trends and regional dynamics underpin the market’s assessment of PQ prospects.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$762,988Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 25-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-20 percent, with smaller parties trailing. This positioning reflects the PQ’s consistent strength among francophone voters, which supports favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules despite modest overall support. The CAQ’s sharp decline from prior levels follows leadership transitions and governing fatigue, while the Liberals have stabilized but not overtaken the leader. High numbers of undecided voters and the October 5 election timeline introduce volatility, yet current polling trends and regional dynamics underpin the market’s assessment of PQ prospects.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$762,988Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 25-27 percent and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-20 percent, with smaller parties trailing. This positioning reflects the PQ’s consistent strength among francophone voters, which supports favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules despite modest overall support. The CAQ’s sharp decline from prior levels follows leadership transitions and governing fatigue, while the Liberals have stabilized but not overtaken the leader. High numbers of undecided voters and the October 5 election timeline introduce volatility, yet current polling trends and regional dynamics underpin the market’s assessment of PQ prospects.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
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