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Politika·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Zenaide Maia 43%

Professor Guilherme 39%

Styvenson Valentim 39%

Rafael Motta 38%

Polymarket
BAGO

Zenaide Maia 43%

Professor Guilherme 39%

Styvenson Valentim 39%

Rafael Motta 38%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$46 Vol.

43%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$46 Vol.

39%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$46 Vol.

39%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$46 Vol.

38%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$46 Vol.

38%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$46 Vol.

38%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$46 Vol.

37%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$46 Vol.

37%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$46 Vol.

37%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$46 Vol.

36%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$46 Vol.

36%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$46 Vol.

35%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$46 Vol.

34%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$46 Vol.

25%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for second place in the Rio Grande do Norte Senate election reflects a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing technical ties among Styvenson Valentim (Podemos), Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT) for the two available seats. Incumbency advantages for Valentim and Zenaide Maia (PSD) compete against challengers drawing support from distinct party bases and regional coalitions. Low differentiation in voter intention surveys, combined with undecided voters and the state's proportional representation dynamics, sustains the even probabilities across leading options. Further separation could emerge from upcoming debates, party alliance consolidations before the October first round, or shifts in national political momentum affecting local turnout.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$642
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for second place in the Rio Grande do Norte Senate election reflects a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing technical ties among Styvenson Valentim (Podemos), Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT) for the two available seats. Incumbency advantages for Valentim and Zenaide Maia (PSD) compete against challengers drawing support from distinct party bases and regional coalitions. Low differentiation in voter intention surveys, combined with undecided voters and the state's proportional representation dynamics, sustains the even probabilities across leading options. Further separation could emerge from upcoming debates, party alliance consolidations before the October first round, or shifts in national political momentum affecting local turnout.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$642
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

47%
icon for Will Renato Jaguarão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Renato Jaguarão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

42%
icon for Will Milton Cardoso win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Milton Cardoso win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

43%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Zenaide Maia" sa 43%, sinusundan ng "Professor Guilherme" sa 39%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 43¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Zenaide Maia" sa 43%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Professor Guilherme" sa 39%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.