Redistricting under Alabama's updated congressional map has shifted the 2nd district toward a Republican lean of roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Trump carrying the territory by double digits in prior voting. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee, state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nod in the August 11 primary with endorsements including from President Trump. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advanced unopposed but faces a more challenging electorate in the revised boundaries. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Likely Republican, while limited polling shows tight general-election margins. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments in this competitive contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,563 Обс.
$39,563 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,563 Обс.
$39,563 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,300 Обс.
74%
Democratic Party
$19,264 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Alabama's updated congressional map has shifted the 2nd district toward a Republican lean of roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Trump carrying the territory by double digits in prior voting. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee, state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nod in the August 11 primary with endorsements including from President Trump. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advanced unopposed but faces a more challenging electorate in the revised boundaries. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Likely Republican, while limited polling shows tight general-election margins. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments in this competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$39,563Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Alabama's updated congressional map has shifted the 2nd district toward a Republican lean of roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Trump carrying the territory by double digits in prior voting. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee, state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nod in the August 11 primary with endorsements including from President Trump. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advanced unopposed but faces a more challenging electorate in the revised boundaries. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Likely Republican, while limited polling shows tight general-election margins. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments in this competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,563Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Alabama's updated congressional map has shifted the 2nd district toward a Republican lean of roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with Trump carrying the territory by double digits in prior voting. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee, state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nod in the August 11 primary with endorsements including from President Trump. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advanced unopposed but faces a more challenging electorate in the revised boundaries. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Likely Republican, while limited polling shows tight general-election margins. The November 3, 2026, outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments in this competitive contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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