PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPL 77%
UPB 8.3%
MISSÃO 6.2%
FE Brasil 4.9%
$35,139 Обс.
$35,139 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
PL
77%
UPB
8%
MISSÃO
6%
FE Brasil
5%
MDB
<1%
PSB
<1%
PSD
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PDT
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
Avante
<1%
PODE
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 77%
UPB 8.3%
MISSÃO 6.2%
FE Brasil 4.9%
$35,139 Обс.
$35,139 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
PL
$22,262 Обс.
77%
UPB
$1,307 Обс.
8%
MISSÃO
$3,593 Обс.
6%
FE Brasil
$1,590 Обс.
5%
MDB
$733 Обс.
<1%
PSB
$753 Обс.
<1%
PSD
$513 Обс.
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
$706 Обс.
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$577 Обс.
<1%
PDT
$498 Обс.
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$524 Обс.
<1%
Avante
$536 Обс.
<1%
PODE
$498 Обс.
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$544 Обс.
<1%
NOVO
$503 Обс.
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,139Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Обсяг
$35,139Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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