Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension of parliamentary mandates in April 2026, citing logistical constraints and internal political tensions between the ruling Waddani administration and opposition Kulmiye. This decision, which followed repeated historical delays and a recommendation from the National Electoral Commission, has shifted trader focus toward the “no election before 2027” outcome as the most probable path. Waddani’s position as the incumbent party after its 2024 presidential victory gives it the strongest relative standing among the three recognized parties, while Kulmiye and UCID face narrower prospects amid ongoing coalition strains and limited recent polling visibility. Upcoming constitutional and security reviews within the extension period remain the primary variables that could still alter timelines or party positioning before any vote occurs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 88%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 5.3%
Kulmiye 1.9%
Waddani 0
$18,371 Обс.
$18,371 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
73%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
5%
Kulmiye
2%
Waddani
30%
No election before 2027 88%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 5.3%
Kulmiye 1.9%
Waddani 0
$18,371 Обс.
$18,371 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$10,022 Обс.
73%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$3,877 Обс.
5%
Kulmiye
$2,458 Обс.
2%
Waddani
$2,013 Обс.
30%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension of parliamentary mandates in April 2026, citing logistical constraints and internal political tensions between the ruling Waddani administration and opposition Kulmiye. This decision, which followed repeated historical delays and a recommendation from the National Electoral Commission, has shifted trader focus toward the “no election before 2027” outcome as the most probable path. Waddani’s position as the incumbent party after its 2024 presidential victory gives it the strongest relative standing among the three recognized parties, while Kulmiye and UCID face narrower prospects amid ongoing coalition strains and limited recent polling visibility. Upcoming constitutional and security reviews within the extension period remain the primary variables that could still alter timelines or party positioning before any vote occurs.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,371Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension of parliamentary mandates in April 2026, citing logistical constraints and internal political tensions between the ruling Waddani administration and opposition Kulmiye. This decision, which followed repeated historical delays and a recommendation from the National Electoral Commission, has shifted trader focus toward the “no election before 2027” outcome as the most probable path. Waddani’s position as the incumbent party after its 2024 presidential victory gives it the strongest relative standing among the three recognized parties, while Kulmiye and UCID face narrower prospects amid ongoing coalition strains and limited recent polling visibility. Upcoming constitutional and security reviews within the extension period remain the primary variables that could still alter timelines or party positioning before any vote occurs.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Обсяг
$18,371Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension of parliamentary mandates in April 2026, citing logistical constraints and internal political tensions between the ruling Waddani administration and opposition Kulmiye. This decision, which followed repeated historical delays and a recommendation from the National Electoral Commission, has shifted trader focus toward the “no election before 2027” outcome as the most probable path. Waddani’s position as the incumbent party after its 2024 presidential victory gives it the strongest relative standing among the three recognized parties, while Kulmiye and UCID face narrower prospects amid ongoing coalition strains and limited recent polling visibility. Upcoming constitutional and security reviews within the extension period remain the primary variables that could still alter timelines or party positioning before any vote occurs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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