Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, following his strong primary performance where he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote. The East Bay district carries a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Jeffrey Frese, has not generated meaningful momentum in fundraising or polling. A major scandal, incumbent health event, or unforeseen national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers make significant shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$19,633 Обс.
$19,633 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,633 Обс.
$19,633 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,007 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$7,626 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, following his strong primary performance where he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote. The East Bay district carries a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Jeffrey Frese, has not generated meaningful momentum in fundraising or polling. A major scandal, incumbent health event, or unforeseen national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers make significant shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,633Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, following his strong primary performance where he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote. The East Bay district carries a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Jeffrey Frese, has not generated meaningful momentum in fundraising or polling. A major scandal, incumbent health event, or unforeseen national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers make significant shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,633Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, following his strong primary performance where he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote. The East Bay district carries a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90 percent implied probability. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Jeffrey Frese, has not generated meaningful momentum in fundraising or polling. A major scandal, incumbent health event, or unforeseen national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers make significant shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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