Recent upward revisions to Canada's 2026 inflation outlook, driven primarily by elevated energy prices from the ongoing Middle East conflict, underpin the 48.6% market-implied odds for the 2.5–2.9% range. The Bank of Canada raised its annual CPI forecast to 2.3% in the April 2026 Monetary Policy Report from 2.0% in January, citing higher gasoline costs that pushed March CPI to 2.4% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in a temporary peak near 3% before easing toward the 2% target, consistent with the central bank's assumption of moderating oil prices. Core measures remain anchored near 2%, with limited pass-through to broader prices amid soft domestic demand. The April CPI release scheduled for May 19 could further shape sentiment ahead of potential policy adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 48.9%
3.5-3.9% 40.4%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 1.2%
$16,408 Обс.
$16,408 Обс.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
39%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
49%
3.0-3.4%
40%
3.5-3.9%
40%
4.0%+
41%
2.5–2.9% 48.9%
3.5-3.9% 40.4%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 1.2%
$16,408 Обс.
$16,408 Обс.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$318 Обс.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$355 Обс.
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 Обс.
39%
2.0–2.4%
$468 Обс.
20%
2.5–2.9%
$502 Обс.
49%
3.0-3.4%
$13,465 Обс.
40%
3.5-3.9%
$287 Обс.
40%
4.0%+
$357 Обс.
41%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent upward revisions to Canada's 2026 inflation outlook, driven primarily by elevated energy prices from the ongoing Middle East conflict, underpin the 48.6% market-implied odds for the 2.5–2.9% range. The Bank of Canada raised its annual CPI forecast to 2.3% in the April 2026 Monetary Policy Report from 2.0% in January, citing higher gasoline costs that pushed March CPI to 2.4% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in a temporary peak near 3% before easing toward the 2% target, consistent with the central bank's assumption of moderating oil prices. Core measures remain anchored near 2%, with limited pass-through to broader prices amid soft domestic demand. The April CPI release scheduled for May 19 could further shape sentiment ahead of potential policy adjustments.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,408Дата завершення
Jan 18, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent upward revisions to Canada's 2026 inflation outlook, driven primarily by elevated energy prices from the ongoing Middle East conflict, underpin the 48.6% market-implied odds for the 2.5–2.9% range. The Bank of Canada raised its annual CPI forecast to 2.3% in the April 2026 Monetary Policy Report from 2.0% in January, citing higher gasoline costs that pushed March CPI to 2.4% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in a temporary peak near 3% before easing toward the 2% target, consistent with the central bank's assumption of moderating oil prices. Core measures remain anchored near 2%, with limited pass-through to broader prices amid soft domestic demand. The April CPI release scheduled for May 19 could further shape sentiment ahead of potential policy adjustments.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Обсяг
$16,408Дата завершення
Jan 18, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to Canada's 2026 inflation outlook, driven primarily by elevated energy prices from the ongoing Middle East conflict, underpin the 48.6% market-implied odds for the 2.5–2.9% range. The Bank of Canada raised its annual CPI forecast to 2.3% in the April 2026 Monetary Policy Report from 2.0% in January, citing higher gasoline costs that pushed March CPI to 2.4% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in a temporary peak near 3% before easing toward the 2% target, consistent with the central bank's assumption of moderating oil prices. Core measures remain anchored near 2%, with limited pass-through to broader prices amid soft domestic demand. The April CPI release scheduled for May 19 could further shape sentiment ahead of potential policy adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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