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Політика·Флорида

FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Флорида

FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner

LaShonda "L.J." Holloway 78%

Michael Kirwan 21%

Brit Robinson 2.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

LaShonda "L.J." Holloway 78%

Michael Kirwan 21%

Brit Robinson 2.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

LaShonda "L.J." Holloway

$6,366 Обс.

78%

Michael Kirwan

$1,878 Обс.

21%

Brit Robinson

$637 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaShonda “L.J.” Holloway holds the strongest position in the August 18 Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary, supported by high name recognition from prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41 percent among likely voters. Michael Kirwan trails in that survey but leads significantly in fundraising, reporting over $700,000 raised in a recent quarter compared with Holloway’s limited receipts. Brit Robinson, a self-described Democratic Socialist, registers single-digit support in available polling and trails in cash on hand. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects these polling trends and Holloway’s established profile in the Jacksonville-area district, while noting that late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome before votes are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$8,842
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaShonda “L.J.” Holloway holds the strongest position in the August 18 Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary, supported by high name recognition from prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41 percent among likely voters. Michael Kirwan trails in that survey but leads significantly in fundraising, reporting over $700,000 raised in a recent quarter compared with Holloway’s limited receipts. Brit Robinson, a self-described Democratic Socialist, registers single-digit support in available polling and trails in cash on hand. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects these polling trends and Holloway’s established profile in the Jacksonville-area district, while noting that late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome before votes are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$8,842
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «LaShonda "L.J." Holloway» з 78%, далі «Michael Kirwan» з 21%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 26, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — «LaShonda "L.J." Holloway» з 78%. Наступний — «Michael Kirwan» з 21%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.