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Політика·Глобальні вибори

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Noel Thomas 42%

Seán Kyne 31.1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.6%

Mike Cubbard 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,339 Обс.

Noel Thomas 42%

Seán Kyne 31.1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.6%

Mike Cubbard 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,339 Обс.

Sheila Garrity

$20,246 Обс.

1%

Seán Kyne

$4,701 Обс.

31%

Niall Murphy

$1,834 Обс.

<1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich

$1,654 Обс.

10%

Orla Nugent

$1,680 Обс.

<1%

Helen Ogbu

$3,933 Обс.

4%

Denman Rooke

$1,612 Обс.

1%

Noel Thomas

$5,057 Обс.

47%

Thomas Welby

$1,697 Обс.

<1%

Mike Cubbard

$2,416 Обс.

10%

Mark Lohan

$2,509 Обс.

4%

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas leads trader expectations in the Galway West by-election at 46.5 percent, ahead of Seán Kyne at 31.1 percent, reflecting his established local profile as an Independent Ireland county councillor with strong rural and Connemara support. The contest, scheduled for 22 May to fill the Dáil seat vacated after Catherine Connolly’s election as president, features over a dozen candidates under Ireland’s PR-STV system, where second-preference transfers will likely determine the outcome. Recent Irish Times/TG4 polling from early May showed Kyne and Thomas nearly tied on first preferences around 16-17 percent, yet market pricing indicates traders view Thomas as better positioned to consolidate independent and anti-government votes in the final campaign days. Kyne’s Fine Gael background and prior ministerial experience provide a solid base, while candidates such as Mike Cubbard and Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich trail further back amid a fragmented field.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Обсяг
$47,339
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas leads trader expectations in the Galway West by-election at 46.5 percent, ahead of Seán Kyne at 31.1 percent, reflecting his established local profile as an Independent Ireland county councillor with strong rural and Connemara support. The contest, scheduled for 22 May to fill the Dáil seat vacated after Catherine Connolly’s election as president, features over a dozen candidates under Ireland’s PR-STV system, where second-preference transfers will likely determine the outcome. Recent Irish Times/TG4 polling from early May showed Kyne and Thomas nearly tied on first preferences around 16-17 percent, yet market pricing indicates traders view Thomas as better positioned to consolidate independent and anti-government votes in the final campaign days. Kyne’s Fine Gael background and prior ministerial experience provide a solid base, while candidates such as Mike Cubbard and Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich trail further back amid a fragmented field.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Обсяг
$47,339
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Galway-West By-Election Winner?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Noel Thomas» з 47%, далі «Seán Kyne» з 31%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» згенерував $47.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Galway-West By-Election Winner?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» — «Noel Thomas» з 47%. Наступний — «Seán Kyne» з 31%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.