Late August climatology in Jinan, Shandong, drives the near-certain market-implied odds of 26°C or higher, as regional highs routinely reach 32–35°C during peak summer under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima around 33–35°C for August 22, 2026, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical extremes often exceeding 35°C. Model consensus shows minimal cooling from any transient showers or light winds, keeping temperatures well above the threshold. Only an unprecedented cold outbreak or major measurement error at official stations could realistically alter this outcome, scenarios with negligible probability given current atmospheric patterns and short time to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
16°C or below
$295 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$295 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$295 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$295 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$295 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,500 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,700 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,502 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,050 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$720 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,327 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late August climatology in Jinan, Shandong, drives the near-certain market-implied odds of 26°C or higher, as regional highs routinely reach 32–35°C during peak summer under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima around 33–35°C for August 22, 2026, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical extremes often exceeding 35°C. Model consensus shows minimal cooling from any transient showers or light winds, keeping temperatures well above the threshold. Only an unprecedented cold outbreak or major measurement error at official stations could realistically alter this outcome, scenarios with negligible probability given current atmospheric patterns and short time to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,274Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late August climatology in Jinan, Shandong, drives the near-certain market-implied odds of 26°C or higher, as regional highs routinely reach 32–35°C during peak summer under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima around 33–35°C for August 22, 2026, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical extremes often exceeding 35°C. Model consensus shows minimal cooling from any transient showers or light winds, keeping temperatures well above the threshold. Only an unprecedented cold outbreak or major measurement error at official stations could realistically alter this outcome, scenarios with negligible probability given current atmospheric patterns and short time to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,274Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late August climatology in Jinan, Shandong, drives the near-certain market-implied odds of 26°C or higher, as regional highs routinely reach 32–35°C during peak summer under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima around 33–35°C for August 22, 2026, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical extremes often exceeding 35°C. Model consensus shows minimal cooling from any transient showers or light winds, keeping temperatures well above the threshold. Only an unprecedented cold outbreak or major measurement error at official stations could realistically alter this outcome, scenarios with negligible probability given current atmospheric patterns and short time to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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