**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
22°C or higher 93%
12°C or below 75%
19°C 51%
20°C 51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
75%
13°C
43%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
46%
17°C
50%
18°C
47%
19°C
51%
20°C
51%
21°C
51%
22°C or higher
93%
22°C or higher 93%
12°C or below 75%
19°C 51%
20°C 51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Обс.
75%
13°C
$10 Обс.
43%
14°C
$10 Обс.
50%
15°C
$10 Обс.
49%
16°C
$10 Обс.
46%
17°C
$10 Обс.
50%
18°C
$10 Обс.
47%
19°C
$10 Обс.
51%
20°C
$10 Обс.
51%
21°C
$10 Обс.
51%
22°C or higher
$279 Обс.
93%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$379Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$379Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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