Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 16?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$142,858 Обс.
$142,858 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$142,858 Обс.
$142,858 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
$17,166 Обс.
No
29°C
$13,497 Обс.
No
30°C
$18,410 Обс.
No
31°C
$23,788 Обс.
No
32°C
$23,688 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$19,051 Обс.
No
34°C
$14,592 Обс.
No
35°C
$6,577 Обс.
No
36°C
$4,186 Обс.
No
37°C
$1,665 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$238 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$142,858Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$142,858Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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