Recent official and model guidance for Munich points to a high of 19–21°C on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 16th. Ensemble forecasts and station data show afternoon maxima clustered near the long-term September average of 19.4°C, with limited diurnal range due to cloud cover suppressing stronger daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range European mid-latitude forecasts two days from verification. No anomalous warm advection or clear-sky amplification is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 18?
21°C 40%
20°C 28%
22°C 25%
19°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
28%
21°C
40%
22°C
25%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
21°C 40%
20°C 28%
22°C 25%
19°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
18°C
$0 Обс.
7%
19°C
$0 Обс.
12%
20°C
$5 Обс.
28%
21°C
$18 Обс.
40%
22°C
$0 Обс.
25%
23°C
$0 Обс.
10%
24°C
$0 Обс.
4%
25°C
$0 Обс.
3%
26°C
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model guidance for Munich points to a high of 19–21°C on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 16th. Ensemble forecasts and station data show afternoon maxima clustered near the long-term September average of 19.4°C, with limited diurnal range due to cloud cover suppressing stronger daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range European mid-latitude forecasts two days from verification. No anomalous warm advection or clear-sky amplification is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$23Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model guidance for Munich points to a high of 19–21°C on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 16th. Ensemble forecasts and station data show afternoon maxima clustered near the long-term September average of 19.4°C, with limited diurnal range due to cloud cover suppressing stronger daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range European mid-latitude forecasts two days from verification. No anomalous warm advection or clear-sky amplification is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model guidance for Munich points to a high of 19–21°C on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 16th. Ensemble forecasts and station data show afternoon maxima clustered near the long-term September average of 19.4°C, with limited diurnal range due to cloud cover suppressing stronger daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 20–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range European mid-latitude forecasts two days from verification. No anomalous warm advection or clear-sky amplification is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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