Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's August 31 high will likely fall between 31–33°C amid persistent humid subtropical conditions, moderate southeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Late-August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 31–32°C before cooler September patterns emerge. Current observations show stable moisture levels and no strong cold fronts or clear-sky intensification expected in the next 48 hours, keeping 32°C as the consensus mode while allowing minor model variance around 31°C or 33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamical outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow uncertainty window before official China Meteorological Administration verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
32°C 48%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
29%
32°C
48%
33°C
18%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$191 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$73 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$10 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$57 Обс.
7%
31°C
$51 Обс.
29%
32°C
$156 Обс.
48%
33°C
$135 Обс.
18%
34°C
$40 Обс.
7%
35°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$111 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's August 31 high will likely fall between 31–33°C amid persistent humid subtropical conditions, moderate southeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Late-August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 31–32°C before cooler September patterns emerge. Current observations show stable moisture levels and no strong cold fronts or clear-sky intensification expected in the next 48 hours, keeping 32°C as the consensus mode while allowing minor model variance around 31°C or 33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamical outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow uncertainty window before official China Meteorological Administration verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$825Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's August 31 high will likely fall between 31–33°C amid persistent humid subtropical conditions, moderate southeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Late-August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 31–32°C before cooler September patterns emerge. Current observations show stable moisture levels and no strong cold fronts or clear-sky intensification expected in the next 48 hours, keeping 32°C as the consensus mode while allowing minor model variance around 31°C or 33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamical outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow uncertainty window before official China Meteorological Administration verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$825Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's August 31 high will likely fall between 31–33°C amid persistent humid subtropical conditions, moderate southeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Late-August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 31–32°C before cooler September patterns emerge. Current observations show stable moisture levels and no strong cold fronts or clear-sky intensification expected in the next 48 hours, keeping 32°C as the consensus mode while allowing minor model variance around 31°C or 33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamical outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow uncertainty window before official China Meteorological Administration verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання