Recent short-range model consensus from the GFS and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Warsaw on August 16 under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses beneath partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This setup, supported by high-pressure ridging, produces modest surface heating and limited vertical mixing that keeps the peak within the narrow 29–30 °C band favored by traders. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation accounts for the closely matched market shares, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could cap readings at 28 °C and any under-forecasted advection could push the high to 31 °C. Afternoon surface observations will resolve the exact threshold ahead of market settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 16?
29°C 42%
30°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 8%
$20,781 Обс.
$20,781 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
42%
30°C
38%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 8%
$20,781 Обс.
$20,781 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$267 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$368 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$626 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,341 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,509 Обс.
1%
28°C
$2,400 Обс.
8%
29°C
$2,528 Обс.
42%
30°C
$3,576 Обс.
38%
31°C
$3,260 Обс.
10%
32°C
$3,218 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,688 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from the GFS and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Warsaw on August 16 under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses beneath partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This setup, supported by high-pressure ridging, produces modest surface heating and limited vertical mixing that keeps the peak within the narrow 29–30 °C band favored by traders. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation accounts for the closely matched market shares, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could cap readings at 28 °C and any under-forecasted advection could push the high to 31 °C. Afternoon surface observations will resolve the exact threshold ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,781Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from the GFS and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Warsaw on August 16 under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses beneath partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This setup, supported by high-pressure ridging, produces modest surface heating and limited vertical mixing that keeps the peak within the narrow 29–30 °C band favored by traders. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation accounts for the closely matched market shares, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could cap readings at 28 °C and any under-forecasted advection could push the high to 31 °C. Afternoon surface observations will resolve the exact threshold ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20,781Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from the GFS and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Warsaw on August 16 under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses beneath partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This setup, supported by high-pressure ridging, produces modest surface heating and limited vertical mixing that keeps the peak within the narrow 29–30 °C band favored by traders. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation accounts for the closely matched market shares, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could cap readings at 28 °C and any under-forecasted advection could push the high to 31 °C. Afternoon surface observations will resolve the exact threshold ahead of market settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання