Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$15,745 Обс.
$15,745 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$15,745 Обс.
$15,745 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,092 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$5,653 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,745Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,745Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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