Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election results across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, allowed Bean—a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning—to secure the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary against multiple challengers. Jennifer Davis advanced from a less contested Republican primary as an entrepreneur emphasizing border security and business-oriented policies. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for Bean based on the district’s structural advantages, Bean’s primary performance, and typical midterm dynamics for the party out of power. A significant national partisan shift, unexpected candidate controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
$21,818 Обс.
$21,818 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Melissa Bean (D)
94%
Jennifer Davis (R)
6%
$21,818 Обс.
$21,818 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Melissa Bean (D)
$9,791 Обс.
94%
Jennifer Davis (R)
$12,027 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election results across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, allowed Bean—a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning—to secure the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary against multiple challengers. Jennifer Davis advanced from a less contested Republican primary as an entrepreneur emphasizing border security and business-oriented policies. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for Bean based on the district’s structural advantages, Bean’s primary performance, and typical midterm dynamics for the party out of power. A significant national partisan shift, unexpected candidate controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,818Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election results across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, allowed Bean—a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning—to secure the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary against multiple challengers. Jennifer Davis advanced from a less contested Republican primary as an entrepreneur emphasizing border security and business-oriented policies. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for Bean based on the district’s structural advantages, Bean’s primary performance, and typical midterm dynamics for the party out of power. A significant national partisan shift, unexpected candidate controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,818Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election results across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, allowed Bean—a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning—to secure the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary against multiple challengers. Jennifer Davis advanced from a less contested Republican primary as an entrepreneur emphasizing border security and business-oriented policies. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for Bean based on the district’s structural advantages, Bean’s primary performance, and typical midterm dynamics for the party out of power. A significant national partisan shift, unexpected candidate controversy, or turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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